How the World Ends
In today’s vernacular you might say you’ve been “click-baited”. Or maybe not. I’ll let you be the judge. I guess it will all come down to how you interpreted “World” and “Ends”. If you immediately pictured the metaphorical “world” or the global context of “world” and if your definition of “ends” means “completion of current state and transformation to something better,” then this most likely will not be what you expected. My intent is to reveal something more sinister and far more depressing. But I beg you to hear me out. After all, it’s only about 5 minutes of your time.
In 1942 concentration camp victims created massive amounts of counterfeit British pounds in an effort to collapse the British economy. This wasn’t the first use of currency counterfeiting in war though. The technique has been around a long time. The British attempted it during the Revolutionary War; Napoleon used it against the Italians; even during the 15th century Italy employed it.
Why would one country counterfeit the currency of its enemy? Were they intending to go on a shopping spree after invading their foe? Oh no, that’s not it. it’s more nefarious than that.
See, here’s a dirty little secret. And it’s one that the Federal Reserve Bank and other central banks around the world would rather you not find out. Counterfeiting leads to hyperinflation. The effect isn’t immediate. It takes some time to get all the money out into circulation. But once it does, the effect can be horrific on the economy.
Hyperinflation manifests itself in rising prices. At the grocery store, at the gas pump, at the movie theater. Everywhere regular people do their daily transacting. When prices rise everywhere at about the same time, this is the effect of inflating the money supply. It’s not a collusion among all the grocers. It’s more a collusion among Central Bankers. It’s not rich farmers gouging you at the store. It’s the ultra-wealthy oligarchs who control everything.
By flooding your enemy’s economy with counterfeit bills, you dilute the value of the currency until it becomes worthless. It’s pretty easy as the British found out at the end of World War II. The counterfeited bills were so good, they couldn’t tell the fake from the real bills. The only thing they could do was to stop printing the legitimate pounds and wait for the money to dissipate naturally.
In the US we’ve been experiencing inflation for some time. Actually, the Fed has a target of 2% per year. It’s intentional. This time, it just got out of hand. Not from counterfeiting, but from legitimate money creation.
Take a look at the St. Louis Fed website. Just do an internet search for “M2 money supply”. In 2020 the money supply exploded. Not counterfeit. It was Legal Tender. Because of the lag time from currency flooding the economy and inflation we are now feeling the effects. Thank you, US Congress.
If you have been wondering maybe the US Congress doesn’t always have our best interest at heart, perhaps you are onto something. Think about this. Like you, I live in Sierra Vista. I also own a small business. It’s nothing of significance but I like to think I make a difference in the lives of the people I serve. It’s my small way of pursuing happiness in my life.
In 2021 Congress passed the Corporate Transparency Act (CTA). As a result, small businesses have to disclose all the details of their business ownership. We have to upload our business details into a government database. You know, the kind of database that is a major target of cyber criminals. The kind of database our government bureaucrats should protect but don’t. From a cybersecurity perspective, the data they require for compliance can easily be used in a social engineering attack to get YOUR information and to scam YOU. Even if you aren’t the small business owner.
The funny thing about the CTA is that it affects only small businesses that almost exclusively do business locally. Corporations with over $5 million in annual revenue are exempt. The reason Congress claims they passed this legislation is to eliminate elicit money laundering. It’s supposed to be a way to financially suffocate terrorist cells. Most money laundering happens in companies handling greater than $5 million. The exemption is in the wrong direction. It will achieve the stated intent. It’s a shell game.
Small businesses have little or no budget to hire cybersecurity professionals to protect their computers, networks and sensitive business data. They are the most vulnerable to cyber attacks like ransomware. so in reality what this Act will do is provide a convenient database containing millions of small businesses who characteristically have little or no cyber security controls protecting their data. All neatly packaged for any moderately skilled threat actor.
Maybe it’s not the end of the world. Or maybe it is the end of the world as we have become accustomed to it.